Just a simple thought that flashed
through my mind after hearing many people say that fuel subsidies in Indonesia
is pro-rich. Yes, I know that more than half of the subsidies is enjoyed by the
top 10% income earners, the bottom 10% only get like 2-3% and yada yada yada,
but come to think of it, maybe our government just believes in trickle down
economics. It’s basically a tax cut to stimulate the economy, right?
Here it goes: Fuel subsidy leaves
middle-up people a little bit richer, giving them a little bit more disposable
income. Now, the richer you are, the more you save, meaning that this extra
income for the rich/middle up will lead to more national savings compared to if
the money is distributed towards poorer people. Theoretically, a one rupiah increase
in national savings should lower interest rates just enough to induce one
rupiah additional investment. In another word, more savings also means more
money there is in the money market to be borrowed to fund investment
activities. So more savings = more investment, which then also means MORE JOBS.
The more jobs available, the more opportunity the unemployed (majority of which
are poor) to get employed.
In a zip: fuel subsidies à more disposable income à more savings à more investments à more jobs for the poor.
Not exactly pro-rich eh?
you said: 'Now, the richer you are, the more you save...'
ReplyDeletei'm not really sure middle-up would do this if they become a little bit richer.. if that's me, i rather to spend it to buy some gadget :D lol
Well that's true :D but then the poor would buy more cigarretes...
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